MARKET INSIGHTS_16102025
16/10/2025
Summary of Key Points in the Report
The VN-Index closed the trading session forming a “Small White Candle” pattern. Trading volume declined but remained above the 20-day average. According to theory, a price increase accompanied by declining volume is not a bullish pattern supported by volume – thus, the signal is not very positive.
Key highlights:
(i) Foreign investors recorded a net buy of over VND 415 billion (across all three exchanges).
- Top net-buy stocks: NLG, DXG, GEX, VIX, VIC, HDB, ACB, PDR, PNJ, VJC…
- Top net-sell stocks: SHB, SSI, HPG, VCI, CII, CEO, MSN, VHM, CTG, KDH…
Today, foreign and institutional investors were net buyers, while domestic individuals and proprietary traders were net sellers.
(ii) The VN-Index has broken out and formed a pennant flag, indicating that the market has shifted into an uptrend phase after six weeks of correction (which aligns with our previously projected 5–8 week timeframe). In the short term, after the breakout, the index may retest the previous resistance of the pennant flag—now turned into support. This provides an opportunity for investors to increase stock accumulation.
Stocks recommended for accumulation today: PTB, BMP, EVF, IPA, NTP…
Stocks with strong money inflow: DIG, NLG, BMP, MSN…
Stocks breaking new highs: HDC…
Stocks with sudden price movements: NLG, PDR, DDV, GEX…
According to Price Action analysis on VN30, there are:
- 08 stocks giving buy signals,
- 08 stocks giving sell signals,
- 14 stocks showing sideways signals.
Positive signals were observed in VPB, VNM, VJC, MSN, VIC, TCB, MWG…
Based on quantitative statistics, with today’s candlestick pattern:
- The probability of VN-Index declining in the next session is 53.33%,
- And 40.30% for a higher closing price than the opening price.
Historically, the index tends to decline with a lower close on Friday’s session.
Support level: 1,680 points
Medium-term resistance: 1,868 points
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