MARKET INSIGHTS_26082025
26/08/2025
SUMMARY OF KEY POINTS IN THE REPORT
The VN-Index closed the session forming a “Long White Candle” pattern – a strong bullish candle.
However, trading volume declined and remained below the 20-day average, indicating that the rally lacked volume support, making this a not-too-bullish signal overall.
Key highlights:
(i) Foreign investors continued to be net sellers, with total net outflows of VND 514 billion across all three exchanges.
- Top net buys: MSB, VIX, MWG, TPB, TAL, CTG, CII, DIG, GEX, SHB…
- Top net sells: HPG, VHM, OIL, SSI, VIC, BID, STB, FPT, PLX, E1VFVN30…
Retail investors remained the main net sellers, while proprietary traders and foreign investors continued to move in opposite directions in their trading activities.
(ii) The VN-Index recorded a strong and unexpected rally, with narrow supply despite modest buying pressure, helping the index rebound quickly after nearly touching the MA(20) dynamic support and correcting more than 5%.
Several stocks near MA(20) or MA(50) held firm and bounced back, notably MWG, real estate tickers, and SSI in the securities group, creating positive spillover effects.
However, the sharp recovery amid weak liquidity suggests that the move might be a short-term technical rebound rather than the start of a sustained uptrend.
The market appears to be stabilizing around the MA(20) area, awaiting confirmation of genuine capital inflows.
Money flow highlights:
- Strong inflows: NAF, HAG, BFC, KLB, STB, MSB, ABB…
- Accumulation picks: CKG, CMG, TLG, AAV, CSM, VEA, CCL, PVD, BFC, SIP, TNG, DPR…
Technical analysis:
According to Price Action analysis on VN30:
- 07 stocks show buy signals,
- 13 stocks show sell signals,
- 10 stocks are sideways.
Notably VRE, VCB, BID, VIC, VJC, SSI show positive technical patterns.
Quantitative statistics:
- Probability of the index declining in the next session: 51%
Probability of the closing price being higher than the opening price: 35.71%
→ The VN-Index is likely to decline in the next (Thursday) trading session.
Note: Market volatility remains high, with frequent limit-up and limit-down movements among leading stocks.
- Support level: 1,600 points
- Resistance level: 1,700 points
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