MARKET INSIGHTS_27082025
27/08/2025
SUMMARY OF KEY POINTS IN THE REPORT
The VN-Index closed the trading session forming a “Small Black Candle” pattern.
Trading volume increased but remained below the 20-day average.
Theoretically, a rise in both price and trading volume is considered a bullish signal supported by volume – a positive sign for the market.
Key Highlights:
(i) Foreign investors recorded a net sell of more than VND 4,190 billion (across all three exchanges).
Top net-buy stocks by foreign investors included FPT, GMD, VIX, DXG, NLG, IJC, SHS, VND, HUT, HCM…
Top net-sell stocks were HPG, VPB, CTG, VCB, SSI, SHB, MBB, KDH, OIL, GEX…
The strong net selling activity from foreign investors has slightly affected domestic investor sentiment, though the direct impact remains limited.
After net buying over VND 11,000 billion in the first half of July, foreign investors have intensely sold off in August, with the total value reaching over USD 1 billion — potentially marking the largest monthly net sell in years.
(ii) The VN-Index showed an upward session, but the closing price was in the lower half of the candle’s body — not a strong bullish signal.
In the short term, this pattern creates a potential double-top pressure.
Given the sharp recent gains amid low liquidity, betting on a continued strong uptrend before the upcoming holiday period seems less likely.
On a positive note, there is sector rotation, with capital flowing into previously underperforming stocks such as VCB, BID, MWG, SSI, GMD, CSM, PAN, IJC…
This rotation is necessary for sustaining the uptrend.
Currently, we need to see capital spreading toward low-base sectors, stocks yet to rise, or companies with strong earnings prospects in Q3–Q4 to sustain market momentum — rather than money continuing to chase highly speculative stocks that have already surged 2–4x recently.
Stocks with strong inflows today: NT2, PAN, CSM, L40, TVC, TTA…
Stocks showing accumulation signals: VEA, DRC, VNM, FOX, TLG, VFS…
According to Price Action analysis on VN30, there are:
- 08 stocks with buy signals,
- 10 stocks with sell signals, and
- 12 stocks moving sideways.
Positive signals were observed in BID, MWG, STB, MSN, VHM…
Based on quantitative statistics, with today’s pattern:
- The next trading session has a 50% probability of declining, and
- A 48% probability that the closing price will be higher than the opening price.
Historically, this pattern suggests no clear direction for Thursday’s session, with the closing price likely below the opening.
Support level: 1,600 points
Resistance level: 1,700 points
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