MARKET INSIGHTS_14102025
14/10/2025
Summary of Key Points in the Report
The VN-Index closed the trading session forming a “Black Candle” pattern. Trading volume increased and surpassed the 20-day average. According to theory, a price decrease accompanied by rising volume is a bearish pattern supported by volume – a negative signal.
Key highlights:
(i) Foreign investors recorded a net sell of over VND 1,475 billion (across all three exchanges).
- Top net-buy stocks: VIC, VHM, VCB, FRT, VIX, VNM, CEO, DIG, PDR, GMD…
- Top net-sell stocks: FPT, SSI, VRE, KDH, HPG, HDB, DXG, MSN, BID, MBB…
The foreign selling streak continued regardless of exchange rate movements or other supportive factors. It’s likely that only a broad-based interest rate cut in the U.S. could reverse this net-selling trend.
(ii) The VN-Index has broken out and formed a pennant flag, signaling that the market has entered an uptrend phase after six weeks of correction (which aligns with our expected 5–8 week timeframe). In the short term, after the breakout, the index may retest the previous resistance of the pennant flag—now turned into support. This represents an opportunity for investors to increase stock accumulation.
Stocks recommended for accumulation today: HCM, FCN, YEG…
Stocks with strong money inflow: TAL…
Stocks breaking new highs: MSR, NDN, DDV, KSV…
Stocks with sudden price movements: EVG, TAL, CRE, HNG, CII, CEO…
According to Price Action analysis on VN30, there are:
- 05 stocks giving buy signals,
- 10 stocks giving sell signals,
- 15 stocks showing sideways signals.
Positive signals were observed in VIC, GVR, VJC, VHM, MWG…
Based on quantitative statistics, with today’s candlestick pattern:
- The probability of VN-Index declining in the next session is 53%,
- And 40.31% for a higher closing price than the opening price.
Historically, the index tends to decline with a lower close on Wednesday’s session.
Support level: 1,680 points
Medium-term resistance: 1,868 points
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