MARKET INSIGHTS_27022024
The recent exchange rate is a matter of concern as USD/VND on the interbank market has touched VND 24,700 (Still lower than the VND 24,900 mark of 2022). Although it creates some pressure, we believe that risk factors have not yet appeared because a slight devaluation also partly supports export growth, and there are no signs that the SBV will change its loose monetary policy.
According to quantitative statistics, with today’s pattern, in the next trading session, VN-Index has a 75% probability of increasing points and a 43.57% probability of the closing price being higher than the opening price. Based on statistics, the index will increase with the closing price lower than the opening price in the trading session on Wednesday. Resistance is 1,245 points. Support is 1,180 points.
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